학술논문

Rapid increase of scrub typhus incidence in Guangzhou, southern China, 2006-2014.
Document Type
Journal Article
Source
BMC Infectious Diseases. 1/5/2017, Vol. 17, p1-8. 8p. 1 Chart, 2 Graphs, 1 Map.
Subject
*TSUTSUGAMUSHI disease
*EMERGING infectious diseases
*DISEASE incidence
*EPIDEMIOLOGY
*HEALTH of older people
*PUBLIC health
*GRAM-negative bacterial diseases
*RURAL population
*SEASONS
*STATISTICAL models
Language
ISSN
1471-2334
Abstract
Background: In the last decade, scrub typhus (ST) has been emerging or re-emerging in some areas of Asia, including Guangzhou, one of the most affected endemic areas of ST in China.Methods: Based on the data on all cases reported in Guangzhou from 2006 to 2014, we characterized the epidemiological features, and identified environmental determinants for the spatial distribution of ST using a panel negative binomial model.Results: A total of 4821 scrub typhus cases were reported in Guangzhou during 2006-2014. The annual incidence increased noticeably and the increase was relatively high and rapid in rural townships and among elderly females. The majority of cases (86.8%) occurred during May-October, and farmers constituted the majority of the cases, accounting for 33.9% in urban and 61.6% in rural areas. The number of housekeeper patients had a rapid increment in both rural and urban areas during the study period. Atmospheric pressure and relative humidity with lags of 1 or 2 months, distributions of broadleaved forest and rural township were identified as determinants for the spatiotemporal distribution of scrub typhus.Conclusion: Our results indicate that surveillance and public education need to be focused on the elderly farmers in rural areas covered with broadleaf forest in southern China. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]