학술논문
Improving flood forecasts for better flood preparedness in the UK (and beyond).
Document Type
Article
Author
Source
Subject
*FLOODS
*STORM surges
*FLOOD forecasting
*FLOOD control
*COASTS
*WEATHER forecasting
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*
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Language
ISSN
0016-7398
Abstract
This winter (2013/14) coastal storms and an unprecedented amount of rainfall led to significant and widespread flooding across the southern UK. Despite much criticism and blame surrounding the flood events, the Flood Forecasting Centre, a recent development in national-level flood forecasting capabilities for the government and emergency response communities, has received considerable praise. Here we consider how scientific developments and organisational change have led to improvements in the forecasting and flood preparedness seen in this winter's flooding. Although such improvements are admirable, there are many technical and communication challenges that remain for probabilistic flood forecasts to achieve their full potential. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]