학술논문

Ever-reaching probabilities and mean first passage times of higher order ergodic Markov chains.
Document Type
Article
Source
Linear & Multilinear Algebra. Jan2024, Vol. 72 Issue 1, p59-75. 17p.
Subject
*MARKOV processes
*PROBABILITY theory
Language
ISSN
0308-1087
Abstract
Within a tensor framework, the notions of ergodicity, ever-reaching probabilities, and mean first passage times of Markov chains have recently been extended to higher order Markov chains. In this paper, we establish the relations between ergodicity of a higher order Markov chain and its ever-reaching probabilities and mean first passage times. In particular, we demonstrate the key role ergodicity plays in the existence and uniqueness of the mean first passage times. We exploit the structure of the tensor equation governing the mean first passage times and propose a block iterative algorithm and a block direct algorithm for computing these quantities. We show that ergodicity guarantees the convergence of the block iterative algorithm. Some illustrative numerical results comparing these algorithms with a brute-force direct method are also given. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]