학술논문

High Climate Sensitivity in the Community Earth System Model Version 2 (CESM2).
Document Type
Article
Source
Geophysical Research Letters. 7/28/2019, Vol. 46 Issue 14, p8329-8337. 9p.
Subject
*CLIMATE sensitivity
*CLIMATE feedbacks
*SURFACE temperature
*COMMUNITIES
Language
ISSN
0094-8276
Abstract
The Community Earth System Model Version 2 (CESM2) has an equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) of 5.3 K. ECS is an emergent property of both climate feedbacks and aerosol forcing. The increase in ECS over the previous version (CESM1) is the result of cloud feedbacks. Interim versions of CESM2 had a land model that damped ECS. Part of the ECS change results from evolving the model configuration to reproduce the long‐term trend of global and regional surface temperature over the twentieth century in response to climate forcings. Changes made to reduce sensitivity to aerosols also impacted cloud feedbacks, which significantly influence ECS. CESM2 simulations compare very well to observations of present climate. It is critical to understand whether the high ECS, outside the best estimate range of 1.5–4.5 K, is plausible. Key Points: The Community Earth System Model Version 2 (CESM2) has an Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) of 5.3 KECS change is mostly due to atmospheric cloud feedbacks, with land surface impacts in intermediate versionsProcesses that impact ECS through cloud feedbacks also impact aerosol forcing of climate [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]