학술논문

Risk and predictive factors of prolonged viral RNA shedding in upper respiratory specimens in a large cohort of COVID-19 patients admitted to an Italian reference hospital
Document Type
article
Author
Annalisa MondiPatrizia LorenziniConcetta CastillettiRoberta GagliardiniEleonora LalleAngela CorpolongoMaria Beatrice ValliFabrizio TagliettiStefania CicaliniLaura LoiaconoFrancesco Di GennaroGianpiero D’OffiziFabrizio PalmieriEmanuele NicastriChiara AgratiNicola PetrosilloGiuseppe IppolitoFrancesco VaiaEnrico GirardiMaria Rosaria CapobianchiAndrea AntinoriSara ZitoMaria Alessandra AbbonizioAmina AbdeddaimElisabetta AgostiniFabrizio AlbarelloGioia AmadeiAlessandra AmendolaMaria Assunta AntonicaMario AntoniniTommaso Ascoli BartoliFrancesco BaldiniRaffaella BarbaroBarbara BartoliniRita BellagambaMartina BenigniNazario BevilacquaGianluigi BiavaMichele BibasLicia BordiVeronica BordoniEvangelo BoumisMarta BrancaRosanna BuonomoDonatella BussoMarta CamiciPaolo CampioniFlaminia CanichellaAlessandro CaponeCinzia CaporaleEmanuela CaraffaIlaria CaravellaFabrizio CarlettiAdriana CataldoStefano CerilliCarlotta CervaRoberta ChiappiniPierangelo ChinelloMaria Assunta CianfaraniCarmine CiaralliClaudia CimagliaNicola CinicolaVeronica CiottiFrancesca ColavitaMassimo CristofaroSalvatore CurialeAlessandra D’AbramoCristina DantimiAlessia De AngelisGiada De AngelisMaria Grazia De PaloFederico De ZottisVirginia Di BariRachele Di LorenzoFederica Di StefanoDavide DonnoFrancesca EvangelistaFrancesca FaragliaAnna FarinaFederica FerraroLorena FiorentiniAndrea FrustaciMatteo FusettiVincenzo GalatiPaola GallìGabriele GarottoIlaria GavianoSaba Gebremeskel TekleMaria Letizia GiancolaFilippo GiansanteEmanuela GiombiniGuido GranataMaria Cristina GreciElisabetta GrilliSusanna GrisettiGina GualanoFabio IacomiMarta IaconiGiuseppina IannicelliCarlo InversiMaria Elena LamannaSimone LaniniDaniele LapaLuciana LeporeRaffaella LibertoneRaffaella LionettiGiuseppina LiuzziAndrea LuciaFranco LufraniManuela MacchioneGaetano MaffongelliAlessandra MaraniLuisa MarchioniAndrea MarianoMaria Cristina MariniMicaela MarittiAnnelisa MastrobattistaIlaria MastrorosaGiulia MatusaliValentina MazzottaPaola MencariniSilvia MeschiFrancesco MessinaSibiana MicarelliGiulia MogaveroMarzia MontalbanoChiara MontaldoSilvia MostiSilvia MurachelliMaria MussoMichela NardiAssunta NavarraMartina NocioniPasquale NotoRoberto NotoAlessandra OlivaIlaria OnnisSandrine OttouClaudia PalazzoloEmanuele PalliniGiulio PalombiCarlo PareoVirgilio PasseriFederico PelliccioniGiovanna PennaAntonella PetrecchiaAda PetroneElisa PianuraCarmela PinnettiMaria PisciottaPierluca PiselliSilvia PittalisAgostina PontarelliCostanza ProiettiVincenzo PuroPaolo Migliorisi RamazziniAlessia RiandaGabriele RinonapoliSilvia RosatiDorotea RubinoMartina RuecaAlberto RuggeriAlessandra SacchiAlessandro SampaolesiFrancesco SanasiCarmen SantagataAlessandra ScarabelloSilvana ScarciaVincenzo SchininàPaola ScognamiglioLaura ScorzoliniGiulia StaziGiacomo StranoChiara TaibiGiorgia TaloniTetaj NardiRoberto TonnariniSimone TopinoMartina TozziFrancesco VairoAlessandra VergoriLaura VincenziUbaldo Visco-ComandiniSerena VitaPietro VittozziMauro ZaccarelliAntonella Zanetti
Source
International Journal of Infectious Diseases, Vol 105, Iss , Pp 532-539 (2021)
Subject
Coronavirus
SARS-CoV-2
COVID-19, viral clearance, viral shedding
Risk factors
Infectious and parasitic diseases
RC109-216
Language
English
ISSN
1201-9712
Abstract
Background: Limited data are available about the predictors and outcomes associated with prolonged SARS-CoV-2 RNA shedding (VS). Methods: A retrospective study including COVID-19 patients admitted to an Italian hospital between March 1 and July 1, 2020. Predictors of viral clearance (VC) and prolonged VS from the upper respiratory tract were assessed by Poisson regression and logistic regression analyses. The causal relation between VS and clinical outcomes was evaluated through an inverse probability weighted Cox model. Results: The study included 536 subjects. The median duration of VS from symptoms onset was 18 days. The estimated 30-day probability of VC was 70.2%. Patients with comorbidities, lymphopenia at hospital admission, or moderate/severe respiratory disease had a lower chance of VC. The development of moderate/severe respiratory failure, delayed hospital admission after symptoms onset, baseline comorbidities, or D-dimer >1000 ng/mL at admission independently predicted prolonged VS. The achievement of VC doubled the chance of clinical recovery and reduced the probability of death/mechanical ventilation. Conclusions: Respiratory disease severity, comorbidities, delayed hospital admission and inflammatory markers negatively predicted VC, which resulted to be associated with better clinical outcomes. These findings highlight the importance of prompt hospitalization of symptomatic patients, especially where signs of severity or comorbidities are present.