학술논문

A polygenic risk score of atrial fibrillation improves prediction of lifetime risk for heart failure
Document Type
article
Source
ESC Heart Failure, Vol 11, Iss 2, Pp 1086-1096 (2024)
Subject
Polygenic risk score
Heart failure
Risk prediction
Cohort
Diseases of the circulatory (Cardiovascular) system
RC666-701
Language
English
ISSN
2055-5822
Abstract
Abstract Aims Heart failure (HF) has shared genetic architecture with its risk factors: atrial fibrillation (AF), body mass index (BMI), coronary heart disease (CHD), systolic blood pressure (SBP), and type 2 diabetes (T2D). We aim to assess the association and risk prediction performance of risk‐factor polygenic risk scores (PRSs) for incident HF and its subtypes in bi‐racial populations. Methods and results Five PRSs were constructed for AF, BMI, CHD, SBP, and T2D in White participants of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. The associations between PRSs and incident HF and its subtypes were assessed using Cox models, and the risk prediction performance of PRSs was assessed using C statistics. Replication was performed in the ARIC study Black and Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) White participants. In 8624 ARIC study Whites, 1922 (31% cumulative incidence) HF cases developed over 30 years of follow‐up. PRSs of AF, BMI, and CHD were associated with incident HF (P