학술논문

Cumulative Causation and Industrial Evolution: Kaldor's Four Stages of Industrialization as an Evolutionary Model.
Document Type
Article
Source
Journal of Economic Issues (Association for Evolutionary Economics). Mar96, Vol. 30 Issue 1, p97-119. 23p.
Subject
*Industrialization
*Production (Economic theory)
*Exports
*Consumer goods
Language
ISSN
0021-3624
Abstract
This article focuses on economic theorist Nicholas Kaldor's theory of industrialization. Kaldor argued that industrialization is a cumulative process in which the development of industries producing consumer goods precedes the development of those producing capital goods, and where production for sale precedes production for export. He claimed that successful export of capital goods occurs after a long period of cumulative development that relies heavily on the local mass production industries that consume these capital goods. Therefore, policies that lead to the rapid decline of mass production industries could set a virtuous cycle in reverse and undermine existing firms while eliminating the basis for new firms to spring up in the future.