학술논문

Prediction of Foreign Exchange Rates by a Large Language Model
Document Type
Conference
Source
2024 SICE Festival with Annual Conference (SICE FES) Festival with Annual Conference (SICE FES), 2024 SICE. :1062-1066 Aug, 2024
Subject
Aerospace
Bioengineering
Components, Circuits, Devices and Systems
General Topics for Engineers
Power, Energy and Industry Applications
Robotics and Control Systems
Signal Processing and Analysis
Training
Deep learning
Exchange rates
Costs
Profitability
Large language models
Time series analysis
Predictive models
Iron
Numerical models
Large language model
Foreign exchange rate
Finance
Time series
Machine learning
Language
Abstract
This paper proposes a prompt-based method utilizing a large language model (LLM) to predict changes in foreign exchange rates based on limit order information. While traditional deep learning models for prediction utilize numerical values as input and output, LLMs use sentences and prompts. To address this, we design prompts that incorporate the numerical values. GPT-2, a widely adopted LLM, is employed and fine-tuned using a training dataset. The effectiveness of our proposed method is demonstrated through empirical analysis using actual time series data.