학술논문

A Comparative Analysis between a SIRD Compartmental Model and the Richards Growth Model
Document Type
article
Source
Trends in Computational and Applied Mathematics. December 2021 22(4)
Subject
COVID-19
fatality curve
SIRD model
Richards growth model
intervention strategies
Language
English
ISSN
2676-0029
Abstract
We propose a compartmental SIRD model with time-dependent parameters that can be used to give epidemiological interpretations to the phenomenological parameters of the Richards growth model. We illustrate the use of the map between these two models by fitting the fatality curves of the COVID-19 epidemic data in Italy, Germany, Sweden, Netherlands, Cuba, and Japan, up to July 30, 2020.

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