학술논문

Comparison of very short-term load forecasting techniques
Document Type
Periodical
Source
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems IEEE Trans. Power Syst. Power Systems, IEEE Transactions on. 11(2):877-882 May, 1996
Subject
Power, Energy and Industry Applications
Components, Circuits, Devices and Systems
Load forecasting
Neural networks
Power system modeling
Power system dynamics
Power system simulation
Logic
Predictive models
Performance evaluation
Computer simulation
Application software
Language
ISSN
0885-8950
1558-0679
Abstract
Three practical techniques-fuzzy logic (FL), neural networks (NN), and autoregressive models-for very short-term power system load forecasting are proposed and discussed in this paper. Their performances are evaluated through a computer simulation study. The preliminary study shows that it is feasible to design a simple, satisfactory dynamic forecaster to predict very short-term power system load trends online. FL and NN can be good candidates for this application.